Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1257.055639 1420.858917 1600.419179 1812.263478 2055.877707 2327.849521 2655.308413
2025-12-21 965.280597 1176.026063 1427.132446 1750.034676 2156.609573 2654.639448 3315.613241
2025-12-28 852.388372 1092.884476 1396.307405 1810.623909 2366.877523 3095.260639 4133.406832
2026-01-04 761.129988 1016.367438 1353.480967 1836.742440 2520.597958 3467.019145 4899.328968
2026-01-11 687.006760 949.502423 1309.973308 1848.756824 2646.752910 3805.991902 5656.217841
2026-01-18 626.572705 892.541502 1270.544864 1856.912151 2761.638944 4134.866556 6435.922959
2026-01-25 587.013422 859.910918 1260.342324 1903.487033 2934.870789 4567.096460 7433.147664
2026-02-01 549.574997 825.734345 1242.887498 1934.577260 3084.020524 4975.098614 8444.766281
2026-02-08 513.937376 790.275254 1218.952070 1950.946540 3208.263092 5353.327860 9455.593099
2026-02-15 483.791393 760.237421 1199.942391 1971.928253 3340.330745 5757.611119 10569.487152
2026-02-22 460.558512 738.942515 1192.508437 2010.527194 3505.618925 6238.313164 11897.730307
2026-03-01 424.034333 692.394769 1138.622180 1962.027666 3506.921258 6414.775520 12647.401296
2026-03-08 389.372126 646.851928 1083.651673 1908.101274 3495.769839 6573.140049 13401.207944
2026-03-15 356.364493 601.641529 1025.630851 1843.136881 3456.729766 6672.958255 14049.688956
2026-03-22 346.198483 595.565704 1036.190960 1907.295190 3677.441914 7324.697496 16028.468031
2026-03-29 331.600111 580.245404 1028.440878 1934.977920 3826.979732 7846.552971 17799.556998
2026-04-05 316.236137 562.238368 1014.032569 1947.711631 3946.234512 8317.725203 19532.256557
2026-04-12 301.634630 544.476766 998.501270 1956.355629 4057.208981 8784.317757 21337.924035
2026-04-19 292.973870 537.262551 1002.580114 2005.726158 4263.125318 9496.889710 23918.555103
2026-04-26 283.010503 526.734142 999.174825 2038.687138 4435.574071 10153.776101 26479.211664
2026-05-03 272.067459 513.445869 989.100889 2056.042836 4573.607006 10745.449156 28976.219371
2026-05-10 262.363110 501.906316 981.623979 2078.290359 4725.746742 11394.127532 31774.775130
2026-05-17 255.046999 494.659747 982.426250 2119.222143 4928.319223 12203.353886 35236.403552